The Atlanta Hawks (16-15) are at home in Southeast Division action against the Miami Heat (15-13) on Saturday, December 28, 2024 at 3:00 PM ET. The Hawks are 2.5-point favorites in the game, the first matchup between the teams this season.

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Hawks vs. Heat Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, December 28, 2024
• Time: 3:00 PM ET
• How to watch on TV: NBA TV, FDSSE, and FDSSUN
• Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Location: Atlanta, Georgia
• Venue: State Farm Arena

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Hawks vs. Heat Score Prediction

• Prediction: –
  Heat 115 – Hawks 114

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Spread & Total Prediction for Hawks vs. Heat

• Pick ATS: Heat (+ 2.5)
• Computer Predicted Spread: Heat (-0.5)
• Pick OU:

  Over (225.5)
  

• Computer Predicted Total: 228.3

• The Hawks have had less success against the spread than the Heat this year, sporting an ATS record of 13-18-0, as opposed to the 14-14-0 mark of the Heat.
• As a 2.5-point underdog or more in 2024-25, Miami is 4-4 against the spread compared to the 3-10 ATS record Atlanta racks up as a 2.5-point favorite.
• Atlanta’s games have gone over the total 64.5% of the time this season (20 out of 31), which is more often than Miami’s games have (15 out of 28).
• The Hawks have a .500 winning percentage as a moneyline favorite (7-7) this season while the Heat have a .364 winning percentage as a moneyline underdog (4-7).

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Hawks Performance Insights

• The Hawks’ defense ranks fourth-worst in the NBA with 119.5 points allowed per game, but their offense has played better, averaging 117.2 points per game (seventh-ranked in league).
• Atlanta is top-five this year in rebounding, ranking fourth-best in the league with 46 rebounds per game. Meanwhile, it ranks 16th with 44 rebounds allowed per contest.
• With 29.7 dimes per game, the Hawks are third-best in the league in the category.
• Atlanta is fifth-best in the NBA with 15.9 forced turnovers per game, but it ranks fourth-worst in the league by averaging 15.8 turnovers per contest.
• The Hawks are sinking 12.6 treys per game (19th-ranked in league). They have a 35.1% shooting percentage (18th-ranked) from downtown.

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Heat Performance Insights

• In 2024-25, the Heat are 18th in the NBA offensively (111.3 points scored per game) and sixth defensively (108.6 points allowed).
• Miami is 19th in the league in rebounds per game (43.3) and 24th in rebounds allowed (45.2).
• At 25.6 assists per game, the Heat are 14th in the NBA.
• Miami is the fifth-best squad in the league in turnovers per game (12.5) and 10th in turnovers forced (14.4).
• The Heat make 14.6 3-pointers per game and shoot 37.8% from beyond the arc, ranking ninth and sixth, respectively, in the NBA.

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